Muhammad Mursi’s Egypt: The Electoral Map

Finally! The map the MAN didn’t want you to see… I made this map over the course of last Monday, June 18, when Al-Ahram was making the voting returns announcements by governorate, as they did for the first round. But I noticed something troubling in Al-Ahram’s announcements. In the first round, they cited their sources for each set of data — usually the office of the governorate itself. But last Monday, their sources were more vague. It seemed Mursi’s campaign had been aggressively collating the judicial reports from the individual voting districts and providing this information to newspapers, but the Ministry of Interior was not condoning any actual official governorate-level tallies. As it turned out, the truth was very much in Mursi’s interest and not in Shafiq’s. But I decided not to post this map until the contest was over. As commentators have already laid quite bare, it was the Brotherhood’s back-room deal with the SCAF that allowed the “reality” of election numbers to come into existence (which seems to this observer as a slap in the face of every Egyptian voter).

The map pretty much speaks for itself at this level (refer to my round one post for the “key” to governorate names). The Shafiq machine was strongest in Menoufiya and Gharbiya, and he won 56% of the vote in Cairo, or nearly 2 million votes. But Mursi’s support was strong everywhere else and overwhelming in Middle Egypt (Beni Suef and Fayoum in particular), desert areas (except for the Red Sea resorts) and among expat Egyptians, of whom 75% supported him. Ironically, Mursi won only 54% in Ismailiya, the founding city of the Muslim Brotherhood.

Right now, I’m trying to hunt down data at the markaz and district level to make even more detailed maps. Part two of the national-level vote coming up: What did the Sabbahi “swing voters” do?

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About ericschewe

PhD, History. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 Unported License.
This entry was posted in Egypt, Elections, Geography and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

5 Responses to Muhammad Mursi’s Egypt: The Electoral Map

  1. Evan Hill says:

    Hey Eric, I’m just curious: Are you basing this data off the results released by the Morsi campaign, or somewhere else? The Morsi campaign results turned out to be extremely accurate, at least in terms of the final tally announced by Sultan, which ended up reducing both men’s totals by only a few thousand votes. Anyway, I spreadsheeted all the district level results released by the Morsi campaign here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0ArJ55OEtdM4edEpiOWhBa2p6eVBqREZzaWRqdlRPVEE#gid=0

    • ericschewe says:

      The results I used were posted at Al-Ahram Online (English) on June 18 here. I believe this was an independent count of district results taken from the same sources that the Mursi camp used to make their count.

      They look to be within the single-digit thousands with the figures in your link, meaning within a few tenths of a percentage in each governorate.

  2. Amin Mekki Medani says:

    This map doesn’t conform to the one published the United Nations Cartographic Service.

    I refer specifically to the disputed Halayeb triangle which isn’t indicated as being disputed in the map and which has been an open air prison since its forced, military occupation by the Mubarak regime in 1995.

    The peoples of Halayeb have been Sudanese citizens since 1956 and the civil and political structures and institutions in Halayeb were dismantled by the Egyptian military.

    There are serious issues regarding civil and political rights violations that were instigated by the Mubarak regime and that have not been rectified to date.

    The informative map should exclude the disputed Halayeb triangle.

  3. Pingback: District Map of the Presidential Election in Lower Egypt: An Environmental History | Eric Schewe

  4. the high elections committee has already published a qism/markaz level data of the second round includin voter cast, turnouts, and shafiq and morsi voters

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