Egypt in the World: The Expat Presidential Electoral Map

Here’s a map probably nobody else is going to bother making: the final presidential vote counts from the 140 Egyptian consulates and embassies abroad (available at the official site here). But I had the data and blank world maps are easy to come by, so I wanted to see what the mosaic would look like. There were only about 300,000 votes cast abroad, and 80% of them came from six Arab gulf countries where many Egyptians are more or less permanent residents but still closely tied to business and politics at home, especially to the Muslim Brotherhood. Fewer than 1,000 votes were tallied in 116 out of the 140 diplomatic posts, which means most of the colors on the map are not REALLY statistically significant. Moreover, the vote doesn’t reflect the real population of Egyptian expats living in these countries. Like in Egypt, turnout was about 50-60% in most of the large expat communities, but the voter list itself only reflects those who are legal long-term residents who bothered to register with the Egyptian consular mission in their locality. As @Valentine Edgar pointed out, that makes this a pretty upper-middle class segment of the overall population — even in the gulf, many Egyptians are on 10-month work contracts and may not have qualified as resident abroad, meaning most of them lost their opportunity to vote altogether.

Despite the general chaos on the map, there are obvious patterns. 124,643 Egyptians cast their ballots for Mursi in Saudi Arabia – that’s 90% of the votes from Saudi and 41% of all votes cast outside of Egypt. Other gulf countries had slightly more support for Shafiq: In Kuwait, for example, Shafiq received 32%; it was the only single mission where he received more than 10,000 votes. North America and Australia, on the other hand, were Shafiq territory. Egyptians voting at the LA and Montreal consulates went 76 and 77% for Shafiq, respectively, although at the Chicago consulate, the vote was 53% for Mursi. Euro-Egyptians cast the most votes in Italy, but only 54% of Milan and the north voted for Shafiq while 71% of Rome and the south did. There was no love for the Muslim Brotherhood at Vatican City. Of eight registered Egyptian residents (presumably church officials and diplomats), four voted, and they all cast their votes for Shafiq. Europe as a whole was more split than the US. Germany (1387 votes) tallied 75% for Mursi. Of the 223 votes in Japan, 88% were for Mursi.

The absurdity of the Vatican number raises an interesting question. In those places where fewer than 25 Egyptians cast votes, would it be appropriate to assume these are mostly diplomatic workers? They work at the polls, so it is convenient and I assume there is some professional pressure to participate. If so, this paints a fascinating picture of the state of opinion with employees of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Among the 47 missions in this category, there were 554 total votes — and 60% of them were for Mursi.

I made an infographic to more accurately depict where the Egyptian expatriate votes were:

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About ericschewe

PhD, History. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 Unported License.
This entry was posted in Egypt, Elections, Geography, USA and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to Egypt in the World: The Expat Presidential Electoral Map

  1. Pingback: Tracking the Christian Vote in Egypt: Maps

  2. Pingback: 3arabawy BookMarx 07/16/2012 (a.m.) « 3arabawy

  3. micro job says:

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